central bank payments news- Top Knowledge

According to the research report released by SDIC Securities on December 8, if we want to treat this wave of "new year's market" with "innovation", it is necessary for the US dollar index to clearly turn from strong to weak and the fiscal expenditure to enter a clear expansion cycle. The pricing of risk preference turning to fundamentals may have to be further confirmed in the second quarter of next year (strong dollar turning to weak dollar+stimulus policy effectively reversing domestic demand). Looking back at history, after M1 rebounded from the bottom for two consecutive months, the market sector represented by consumption and pro-cyclical sectors will start pricing around fundamentals, which also means that if the growth rate of M1 continues to rebound in November, this extreme differentiation pricing model of large and small markets is expected to be gradually reversed.How to lay out the market when it comes? ETF can directly invest in the sector > >Looking further, humanoid robots and AI concept leading stocks, which are the hottest in the market recently, are almost taken over by small-cap stocks. The data shows that since September 23, the humanoid robot sector has risen by the top 30 stocks, with an average increase of about 114%. Before the market started, the average market value of 30 stocks was less than 4.1 billion yuan. In terms of individual stocks, Eft's total market value was less than 4 billion on September 23, and it has risen 3.5 times since then, and it is currently about 17.6 billion yuan. The total market value of Juneng shares rose from 770 million yuan to 2.6 billion yuan; Tuosida rose from about 4 billion market value to 16.4 billion yuan.

SDIC Securities Research Report pointed out that from the perspective of capital, this phenomenon (micro-disk stocks hit a record high) is naturally easy to explain: the core of the incremental fund group is retail hot money, and the pricing power is not in the hands of institutions.It is difficult for investors who focus on fundamentals to exert their fists and feet in this round of market, and investors who chase small-cap stocks with hot topics make Public Offering of Fund products far behind.On December 9th, Wonder Microdisk Index continued to hit a record high, closing at 359,303.64 points, with a cumulative increase of 25.11% during the year. The fund's heavy position index rose by 7.63% during the year, and the underperformed microdisk index was nearly 18 percentage points.

What are the reasons why more resilient blue chips are not popular in the market? Many people in the industry interviewed by reporters believe that the macro-economy has not yet recovered significantly, and the uncertainty of the pace of monetary and fiscal policies next year has led to the fact that although the weighted blue-chip stocks have a low valuation advantage, they have not obtained the unanimous expectation of funds.[Robots are hot this year! 】It is difficult for investors who focus on fundamentals to exert their fists and feet in this round of market, and investors who chase small-cap stocks with hot topics make Public Offering of Fund products far behind.